Rory/Day/DJ will never win another major

[2ball]

So..... its Monday after the Masters. We shuttin this topic down now?

[Shilgy]

40 minutes ago, 2ball said:

So..... its Monday after the Masters. We shuttin this topic down now?

Nah, just strike off one name from the tittle of the thread.

[Bigjim1022]

Hey isn’t there an old saying “2 outta 3 ain’t bad”?  

[dan360]

Now that prescription ‘shrooms are legal in Oregon, cannot wait to read what type of Nostradamus-esque predictions result.  
 

 

[Grover21]

Well this didn't age well.......

 

[hack2489]

On 11/16/2020 at 10:07 AM, golfer929 said:

OP here, not M.I.A. Couldn’t get to the phone until I got off work. I’ll be the first to admit it. I was wrong. I flat out missed this prediction based off what I said. I thought DJ would for sure rank the lead today (And he looked like he was about to on the front 9), but he executed down the stretch. I still am holding strong on Day and Rory. They won’t ever win one again. If they combine to go 1-However many over the course of the rest of their careers, give me some credit on that. I’ll be right here ready to take credit, but also to take all criticism, like I should here. 
 

For those saying it’s not a real major, that’s wrong. It is a major, plain and simple. Not the same conditions as far as time of year, crowd, course conditions, but a major through and through.

 

Well, OP, well done. Kudos to you and here's hoping the golfing gods deliver more birdies than bogies. It could have been so easy to slink off and just start a new account, but, to your credit you've owned it. You're the type I'd like to have a discussion with over a beer.

 

As noted by others, so far 2 out of 3 ain't bad. Heck, if you're a stock broker or financial adviser you'd be happy with those odds. Better odds than the Casino. If you're in business, you could call the DJ one the 'loss leader', and double down on the others. Guess time will tell, bring on the discussion! 

 

Isn't that what this is all about. Opinions, discussion, and a form of entertainment? For those who feel the need to insult, name call or down right disrespect others right to an opinion, I can only hope the golfing gods deliver no birdies and plenty of bogies. 

 

[third-times-a-charm]

On 11/17/2020 at 8:11 PM, Grover21 said:

Well this didn't age well.......

 

 

Well he got 2/3...

[straightshot7]

1 hour ago, third-times-a-charm said:

 

Well he got 2/3...

 

no offense but the title says "never", not November 2020.

 

It's still likely at least Rory will win another major. 

[BlackDiamondPar5]

1 hour ago, third-times-a-charm said:

 

Well he got 2/3...

Hardly a clairvoyant.  Many (most) multiple major winners have gone more than 3 years between majors.  Mcilroy will win another for sure. Day is the only one that I think he may be right about.

Edited November 19, 2020 by BlackDiamondPar5

[golfer929]

On 11/19/2020 at 3:07 PM, BlackDiamondPar5 said:

Hardly a clairvoyant.  Many (most) multiple major winners have gone more than 3 years between majors.  Mcilroy will win another for sure. Day is the only one that I think he may be right about.

Yes, but how many have gone 6.5 years and then get another? That list of multiple major winners with X years in-between gets smaller as the X gets bigger.

[golfer929]

On 11/17/2020 at 8:42 PM, hack2489 said:

 

Well, OP, well done. Kudos to you and here's hoping the golfing gods deliver more birdies than bogies. It could have been so easy to slink off and just start a new account, but, to your credit you've owned it. You're the type I'd like to have a discussion with over a beer.

 

As noted by others, so far 2 out of 3 ain't bad. Heck, if you're a stock broker or financial adviser you'd be happy with those odds. Better odds than the Casino. If you're in business, you could call the DJ one the 'loss leader', and double down on the others. Guess time will tell, bring on the discussion! 

 

Isn't that what this is all about. Opinions, discussion, and a form of entertainment? For those who feel the need to insult, name call or down right disrespect others right to an opinion, I can only hope the golfing gods deliver no birdies and plenty of bogies. 

 

Thank you for the reply! Even though I was wrong, and DJ looked unstoppable at Augusta, you all are right 2/3 isn't bad! I'm proud of that. I wish more people on this forum would come out and make their bold predictions. I know people have them, but let's see who is brave enough to come out and say it! It's all in good fun, it's just golf after all.

[nichho]

On 11/17/2020 at 4:40 AM, Bigjim1022 said:

Hey isn’t there an old saying “2 outta 3 ain’t bad”?  

No, but there is a very good Meatloaf song.

[BlackDiamondPar5]

8 hours ago, golfer929 said:

Yes, but how many have gone 6.5 years and then get another? That list of multiple major winners with X years in-between gets smaller as the X gets bigger.

Yes but it's a crowded field of winners. Statistics are on your side to be right for years.  In the last 69 majors there are 40 unique names and 27 of those only have 1 major.  The current top 20 OWGR only have an average of 0.85 majors and a median value of 0.5 majors and they've been on tour for an average of around 8 years. 

 

Now add in a little judgement for some guys that haven't won one for a couple years plus a little insight like health issues, substance abuse issues, marriage, new parent etc and it's really not very hard to look right for a few years.  But kudos for making a bold prediction and admitting when you were wrong. Such predictions make for fun banter on wrx but doesn't make you a clairvoyant. 

Edited November 22, 2020 by BlackDiamondPar5

[straightshot7]

12 hours ago, golfer929 said:

Yes, but how many have gone 6.5 years and then get another? That list of multiple major winners with X years in-between gets smaller as the X gets bigger.

True, but how many guys have ever been as good as Rory McIlroy? Very short list, also.

And he's ranked 4th in the World. It's not like he's not trending. 

 

He won a WGC event around 1 year ago. Top 10 in each of the last two majors.

 

31 years old? That's nothing for a pro golfer. Still 5-10 more years of prime.

 

I think you have to give Rory at least a 50% chance of winning another major. 

[straightshot7]

12 hours ago, golfer929 said:

Thank you for the reply! Even though I was wrong, and DJ looked unstoppable at Augusta, you all are right 2/3 isn't bad! I'm proud of that. I wish more people on this forum would come out and make their bold predictions. I know people have them, but let's see who is brave enough to come out and say it! It's all in good fun, it's just golf after all.

You said "never"... not "before 2021".

 

It just isn't factual to take a victory lap on 2/3 😆

Rory is 31 years old. Jason Day is 33.

 

Come back in 15-20 years and see if you've still got 2/3 correct...then I will congratulate you on your prediction. 

[MMB1500]

35 minutes ago, straightshot7 said:

True, but how many guys have ever been as good as Rory McIlroy? Very short list, also.

And he's ranked 4th in the World. It's not like he's not trending. 

 

He won a WGC event around 1 year ago. Top 10 in each of the last two majors.

 

31 years old? That's nothing for a pro golfer. Still 5-10 more years of prime.

 

I think you have to give Rory at least a 50% chance of winning another major. 

 

Two tops 10s but never looked like winning, or even coming close. That's been the McIlroy speciality since 2014. 

 

He doesn't have what it takes mentally to win another major. 

[straightshot7]

59 minutes ago, MMB1500 said:

 

Two tops 10s but never looked like winning, or even coming close. That's been the McIlroy speciality since 2014. 

 

He doesn't have what it takes mentally to win another major. 

We're both just giving our opinions. Saying he "never looked like winning" and "doesn't have what it takes mentally to win another major" is purely subjective conjecture, obviously. 

 

What is a fact is that it only takes 1 week where everything lines up for McIlroy and he wins. 

What is also a fact in golf, is that we've seen many players not play their best golf until after age 32. So why would I dismiss an all time great player at age 31? 

 

To say he "doesn't have what it takes mentally" or definitely will not win another major seems extreme, no? 

Maybe he just didn't play well enough to win that week...

 

Maybe he didn't make enough putts or hit enough fairways...

 

Golf is not a game of perfect. No one is at their best every week. Not even prime Tiger. But it only takes one special week where you are at your best. Just like DJ was at the Masters. 

I'm not saying it will happen for sure, but there is at least the possibility that that happens again for McIlroy. He's not cursed. 

Edited November 22, 2020 by straightshot7

[PappyVanWinkle53]

Here's a prediction we can all agree on.....Smylie Kaufman will never win a major.

[johnseg]

On 11/22/2020 at 4:11 PM, straightshot7 said:

We're both just giving our opinions. Saying he "never looked like winning" and "doesn't have what it takes mentally to win another major" is purely subjective conjecture, obviously. 

 

What is a fact is that it only takes 1 week where everything lines up for McIlroy and he wins. 

What is also a fact in golf, is that we've seen many players not play their best golf until after age 32. So why would I dismiss an all time great player at age 31? 

 

To say he "doesn't have what it takes mentally" or definitely will not win another major seems extreme, no? 

Maybe he just didn't play well enough to win that week...

 

Maybe he didn't make enough putts or hit enough fairways...

 

Golf is not a game of perfect. No one is at their best every week. Not even prime Tiger. But it only takes one special week where you are at your best. Just like DJ was at the Masters. 

I'm not saying it will happen for sure, but there is at least the possibility that that happens again for McIlroy. He's not cursed. 

I'm not sure the first part is an opinion at this point. Did you ever think for a moment that Rory was going to win the PGA or Masters? He was 6 back at the start of the 4th round at the US Open and finished 12 back. At the Masters he started the final round 8 back and finished 9 back. I would say that he never looked like he was winning either of those two tournaments.

 

The second part is purely opinion.

[Shilgy]

On 11/24/2020 at 1:01 PM, johnseg said:

I'm not sure the first part is an opinion at this point. Did you ever think for a moment that Rory was going to win the PGA or Masters? He was 6 back at the start of the 4th round at the US Open and finished 12 back. At the Masters he started the final round 8 back and finished 9 back. I would say that he never looked like he was winning either of those two tournaments.

 

The second part is purely opinion.

doesn't have what it takes mentally to win another major"  is what he replied to. Do you have some insider info that proclaims that OPINION?

[gvogel]

I think that Rory will win a Masters, but it will be in 5 or 6 years after we have written him off.  Too Old.

 

And then, when he wins, everyone will be crying and it will be the most wonderful thing for Rory.

 

Well, I am a Rory fan, and I won't be crying, but that's what I think will happen.  I hope I'm still around.

[Neo1]

if Rory can stay healthy for the next 5-10 years he should definitely win at least 1 or 2 more majors. the problem is he seems to only get pumped for Augusta and i feel like he deflates afterwards when he doesn't win. it will be a real struggle from now on since he's getting older and the pressure will only mount kinda like Phil and the US open. I'm Not really much of a Rory fan but i'd like to see the 6th man added to that exclusive grand slam club

[Honixx]

Didn't age well at all...

[Titleist_PT23]

On 9/28/2020 at 7:47 AM, rafal said:

.......... is not going to win another major is pretty much always a good bet odds wise.  There are very few guys I'd take the other side.

 

Bryson I would take the other side he's too young and hungry and full of himself.  That's not something I'd bet against.

 

Now as for these three....

 

Day is easy money, Rory (while this makes people really angry for some reason) is a good position to take, he may win but I'd say it's a good position to cash on.  DJ seems even more risky but I think the age will start creeping into the equation and taking this bet against him now is viable.  His game is strong but PGA Championship showed again he's not a tremendous closer (to say the least).  He needs to have a huge lead by Sunday and ride it out.

 

Now taking all these 3 at the time OP made his OP, that's a strong move. 

Looks like this was as good as your Keegan Bradley prediction.

[Obee]

On 11/27/2020 at 3:36 AM, agolf1 said:

Looks like this was as good as your Keegan Bradley prediction.

What was the Keegan prediction?

[gvogel]

On 11/26/2020 at 4:58 PM, 1putt2win2 said:

if Rory can stay healthy for the next 5-10 years he should definitely win at least 1 or 2 more majors. the problem is he seems to only get pumped for Augusta and i feel like he deflates afterwards when he doesn't win. it will be a real struggle from now on since he's getting older and the pressure will only mount kinda like Phil and the US open. I'm Not really much of a Rory fan but i'd like to see the 6th man added to that exclusive grand slam club

I would like to see Rory win another Open Championship or two.  That should be the most important championship for someone coming up in Northern Ireland.  Too bad he over-hyped himself at Royal Portrush.  He does that frequently - shoots himself out of the tournament in the first round, and then rallies for a top-10 finish.  If he only didn't take the most important ones so seriously.

 

Dustin and Rory are both very talented.

[MUNIGRIT]

This was one of the worst predictions I've ever heard. 

[Shilgy]

2 hours ago, MUNIGRIT said:

This was one of the worst predictions I've ever heard. 

Y2K and 2012 were worse but this one is close. 😏