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Like a lot of us here I plan some of my tee times out a week or 10 days in advance. I like the way Weather Underground lays out the 10 day forecast with temps and graphics for wind, but I am curious what others use. Have you found anything that is either particularly accurate and/or has good navigation? Or do all the sites on the web just take NOAA data and reconfigure it?

 

Phred

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Interested as well.

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Nws sites. Detailed forecast discussion, past data, radar, . . . Also storm prediction center, weather prediction center, hurricane center, climate prediction center, . . . Yeah a bit of a weather geek. Have weatherunderground too.

 

Page for nws sites except for local forecast. http://www.ncep.noaa.gov/

 

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A forecast that far out is meaningless up here, especially in the spring. 12 hrs is about all I trust until June.

 

Same here. I've wanted to code something up to scrape various weather sources and see how much the forecast changes for a given day once it shows up in the 10 day outlook.

 

A few years ago a retired meteorologist was being interviewed on the radio and he said that 5-10 day forecasts are incredibly unreliable and are pretty much just guesses because one variable could significantly change the forecast. The reason they give them is because customers want them, so if they didn't offer them, viewers would switch to another channel. He did say they are pretty confident in most 1 or 2 day forecasts unless some really complex weather is going on or the area is right at the border of a weather front where a small change in the wind could put us on either side of the front.

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I use a local TV news app called WESH weather. It's just a good quality radar app that is critical in Florida due to how quickly storms and lightning can roll in and it tells you how far away the nearest lightning strike is. Once a lightning strike gets within 3 miles of me, that's when I get out of Dodge.

 

The only other thing I look for is what direction the wind is currently blowing. Sometimes the wind feels like it is swirling a bit and if I know what direction the wind is blowing, I can just pull out the compass app and more accurately determine where the wind is coming from.

 

 

 

 

 

 

RH

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I use a local TV news app called WESH weather. It's just a good quality radar app that is critical in Florida due to how quickly storms and lightning can roll in and it tells you how far away the nearest lightning strike is. Once a lightning strike gets within 3 miles of me, that's when I get out of Dodge.

 

The only other thing I look for is what direction the wind is currently blowing. Sometimes the wind feels like it is swirling a bit and if I know what direction the wind is blowing, I can just pull out the compass app and more accurately determine where the wind is coming from.

 

 

 

 

 

 

RH

3 miles is too late. You are already in the danger zone. If you can hear thunder you are already in danger. 10 miles is better which a lot of older golf course technology does but new stuff starts detecting lightning conditions when they are developing 5-7 miles away - way before a strike. Of course $20k plus annual fees can stop some course but Florida is lightning central and you’d think they’d be more prevalent.

 

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Weather forecasts are usually too broad and area to be accurate. If I'm trying to project a few days out, I will look at larger area weather systems, the jet stream, national radar and the aforementioned local weather forecasts. If the systems are fairly stable you can project out a few days, but if the weather systems are quick developing (mi-summer) it is really hard to go beyond 12 hrs. The talking heads that come on TV and tell you the forecast are almost useless because they will tell you for an entire region that is usually 360 sq. miles. So it might be bad weather in one little area and the whole area gets that forecast.

 

Localized radar of current conditions are my go to for same-day planning. Quite often you can look at the radar (current and projected) and that is your best indicator. Since I'm often deciding where to play (within a 2 hrs drive) in the next few hours, this can dictate where I'm going to play that has the best chance of me staying dry. Many times I'm sitting in my car looking at the live radar and deciding where I'm going to play.

 

We use Weather Bug and Storm for tracking lightning. 10 miles and the horn goes off.

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