Degenerate Golf Gamblers Anonymous

[1puttTUT]

This lineup would be looking pretty good if JT wouldn't have sh!t the bed

 

 

[bmitchem33]

Not a good tourney so far for me. I have several lineups out there in different contests but mostly the $4 and I didn't get a single 6/6 thanks to Molinari and Hideki.

 

On a bittersweet note I had a few lineups in the .25c contest and wouldn't you know it boom my best lineup. Sitting at 381 points @19th place winning a whooping 12$ lol if the same lineup were in the 4$ contest I'd be sitting $200 and a few off the big money.

 

Lots of golf left I suppose

[peachfuzz]

Probably a bad idea knowing how I can get with gambling, not so much in the throwing gobs of money away, but spending hours upon hours of research... I just signed up for a Bovada account to put bets in on golf.

 

With doing hardly any research, and going from the hip just for fun to test the waters, I put a few bucks in each of the following:

 

To Win:

 

Mickelson - +1200

Campbell - +7500

Weekley - +8000

Jones - +8000

Villegas - +12500

 

Top 10:

Petterson - +2000

 

Looks pretty atrocious for most weeks, but it's such a weak field that I figure one of the lower odds players will probably end up with the win.

[highdraw69]

I like the feel of this event -- from a gambling perspective -- much better than the Memorial; anyone here using GolfStrat to compare players? it seems easy on DK this week to put stars in play, so I'm leaning toward a low-owned balanced lineup and will avoid DJ, Philly Mick and the top end...looking at last couple of years results, we have Gomez, Owen, Jones, Koepka, Mickelson, Noh, M Thompson last year and the previous year Crane, Merritt, Every, Petterson, Simpson, Hahn, Harman ... doesn't seem like it's necessarily the "bombers" track that many are playing it up to be

[highdraw69]

well, maybe this will be an interesting weekend! I managed to get 6 players thru on a lineup

 

Berger

Hearn

Hoge

Koepka

List

Oppenheim

[longshot300]

I've skipped the last few tourneys, including this week, for the US Open

 

here's my rough draft (based on my gut):

 

Rose

Willett

Schwartzel

Kuchar

Hoffman

Cabrera-Bello

 

I haven't done this in a while, but I think that pricing is a little soft like the Master's was.

[Rob G 89]

What's sticking in my head is someone will have a 5 footer miss and have 15 coming back so off the top of your heads who are some passive putters?

I recall from the masters Charlie Hoffman said he learned from Phil that his secret is don't be scared to make it as Charlie left a lot short so will Charley be aggressive or passive?

I think the key this week is conservative players so by first glance mid priced guys I like bill haas and for some reason I like Marc leishman he has been showing up at majors lately.

Also using the strokes gained statistic Jamie Donaldson could be a steal.

[Rob G 89]

What's sticking in my head is someone will have a 5 footer miss and have 15 coming back so off the top of your heads who are some passive putters?

I recall from the masters Charlie Hoffman said he learned from Phil that his secret is don't be scared to make it as Charlie left a lot short so will Charley be aggressive or passive?

I think the key this week is conservative players so by first glance mid priced guys I like bill haas and for some reason I like Marc leishman he has been showing up at majors lately.

Also using the strokes gained statistic Jamie Donaldson could be a steal.

[bmitchem33]

I have had some really bad weeks lately and hope to turn it around this week. Only going to fill out 2 millionaire lineups and pray for the best. My lineup builder hasn't worked lately......

[longshot300]

My big question of this week is which 2 of the 3 would you pick between Branden Grace, Matt Kuchar, and Patrick Reed?

[1puttTUT]

My big question of this week is which 2 of the 3 would you pick between Branden Grace, Matt Kuchar, and Patrick Reed?

 

To win or to get you decent pts in DK?

[longshot300]

My big question of this week is which 2 of the 3 would you pick between Branden Grace, Matt Kuchar, and Patrick Reed?

 

To win or to get you decent pts in DK?

 

 

Solid finishes

[1puttTUT]

My big question of this week is which 2 of the 3 would you pick between Branden Grace, Matt Kuchar, and Patrick Reed?

 

To win or to get you decent pts in DK?

 

 

Solid finishes

 

Well Reed is the most volatile. He could win or MC.

[highdraw69]

depends a little on your strategy and type of contest...Kuchar is probably going to be the highest owned player in many DK games, so if you're trying to climb up in a tourney format, you might wanna roll the dice and avoid him, but if you're in a cash game, you'd probably want him...from a strict golf performance standpoint, of the 3, i'd go with Kuch and then Reed; Kuch also has a much higher birdie % rate than Grace, and birdies this week will be in short supply

[needfasp3ed]

Who did the "sportsgeek" guy pick for US Open? We won some money on those picks for the Masters, wouldn't mind hopping on again.

[bmitchem33]

That's Kevin and he hasn't made any official picks because he recently got married and is in Hawaii on his honeymoon.

[1puttTUT]

Matsuyama, Rose, and Horschel are finding their way into a lot of my lineups.

[longshot300]

Goosen and Kjeldsen could be good sleepers

[highdraw69]

Goosen has been selected as a "sleeper" by almost every pundit out there this week, and at his low salary he will be heavily owned, especially in stars and scrubs lineups...i'm going to avoid him in all my lineups for those reasons as well as the fact that in 2007 he shot 76-77 here for MC

[1puttTUT]

Goosen has been selected as a "sleeper" by almost every pundit out there this week, and at his low salary he will be heavily owned, especially in stars and scrubs lineups...i'm going to avoid him in all my lineups for those reasons as well as the fact that in 2007 he shot 76-77 here for MC

 

If you're looking for a similar sleeper you could give Glover a shot. He keeps it in the fairway and has past success at the US Open. I don't think alot of people will be on him.

[highdraw69]

it is really easy to build lineups this week, and there are some odd low salaries (like charl at 7500 and kuch at 8400)...golfstrat has kuch as #4 on their power rankings, but DK has him way down their salary list; i'm thinking with low 60 and ties for the cut (vs low 70 on regular tour event) and with birdies being so scarce, you'll have to get 6 guys through the cut to have any chance to cash cause you'll need the placement bonus points...I think in 07 there were only EIGHT rounds under par on this course, which is just insane compared to a normal tour event; bubba finished T5 and never broke par in a round!

[bmitchem33]

Kuchar will be the most owned. It'll be hard to fade him but might be a good idea. I think Charl will be heavily owned too. I think just as important as getting all 6 through you don't want 1 of your golfers shooting an 83 either......

[thechief16]

Chalk be damned, I'm in heavy in on Kuch, Grace, Horschel and Goosen. I play cash mostly, so ownership isn't that important.

 

Also playing Kuch in one and done. He keeps popping in all the right stat categories.

[highdraw69]

I have kuch in 50% of my lineups...the guy I took a heavy stand on is Koepka...seems like he knows how to play US Open setups, his form is hot and his price is silly cheap

[1puttTUT]

I have kuch in 50% of my lineups...the guy I took a heavy stand on is Koepka...seems like he knows how to play US Open setups, his form is hot and his price is silly cheap

 

Good call. I'm all over him in my work pool because I don't think alot of those guys don't even know who he is.

[1puttTUT]

from what I've been reading, bogey avoidance was the stat with the closest correlation to success the last time the U.S. Open was held at Oakmont. Here are the top players for 2016 in bogey avoidance:

 

 

 

Wilkinson, Mickelson and Kuchar were 10-12 btw.

 

Does this make Rickie a good contrarian play in GPP's?

 

 

I might put together a lineup based on this for fun and see what happens.

[bmitchem33]

Seems that the key to the Milli maker is getting a guy or two that isn't chalk to place well. I think there will be a lot of "popular" American golfers on majority of lineups leaving out some good international players that people who do their homework will roster. But it's hard to roster someone you have never really watched play........

[Gamble Gamble]

from what I've been reading, bogey avoidance was the stat with the closest correlation to success the last time the U.S. Open was held at Oakmont. Here are the top players for 2016 in bogey avoidance:

 

 

 

Wilkinson, Mickelson and Kuchar were 10-12 btw.

 

Does this make Rickie a good contrarian play in GPP's?

 

 

I might put together a lineup based on this for fun and see what happens.

 

those guys are getting murdered right now.

 

the most important factor is mental fortitude

[1puttTUT]

from what I've been reading, bogey avoidance was the stat with the closest correlation to success the last time the U.S. Open was held at Oakmont. Here are the top players for 2016 in bogey avoidance:

 

 

 

Wilkinson, Mickelson and Kuchar were 10-12 btw.

 

Does this make Rickie a good contrarian play in GPP's?

 

 

I might put together a lineup based on this for fun and see what happens.

 

those guys are getting murdered right now.

 

the most important factor is mental fortitude

 

Too bad there isn't a stat for that :)

[highdraw69]

I heard duval say that the players who never teed off yesterday now likely have a big advantage on the field...will be interesting to see how today plays out...wall to wall golf might favor a young gun from a fatigue standpoint?