24 hours to hit a hole in one from 125 yards - $10 million if you do, but 1 year in jail if you don't...

[tjumper78]

thought about it hard, and i wouldn't do it even from 50 yards.  

[platgof]

Get my stripes ready!

[marmaduk]

[IsThatGood17]

Love these hypotheticals, don’t think I would do it though. Not worth the risk lol

[J_Tizzle]

Jail no, something else, depends.

 

125 is kind of a tweener yardage for me, so I'd have to see how the pin is set up and the greens.  My new golf course has soft greens and last weekend I hit a U wedge on a 125 yard (downhill, water everywhere) and hit it 1ft behind the hold and it spun back exactly 10" and was 2" away, if I played on a course with slightly faster greens it probably would have gone in.  So depending on what I'd lose (not doing jail no matter what) it would be dependent on the conditions.  Totally still, firmish/fastish greens, pin in a bowl, maybe you got my interest.

[lance1420]

Well seeing as I have never hit a hole in one in all of my years playing I’m going to say no. 
 

There is no way I could repeat my swing for 24 hours!

[Buzzkill]

Definitely would take the challenge!

[hoselrocket256]

I'd give it a whirl!

[rukahs]

2 hours ago, hoselrocket256 said:

I'd give it a whirl!

 

User name: Hosel Rocket

 

Confidence for a hole in one: 100%

 

😄 gotta love it 😄 

[hoselrocket256]

5 hours ago, rukahs said:

 

User name: Hosel Rocket

 

Confidence for a hole in one: 100%

 

😄 gotta love it 😄 

Thanks bud!

[MichaelGFox]

On 6/23/2023 at 10:28 AM, tjumper78 said:

thought about it hard, and i wouldn't do it even from 50 yards.  

interesting i wouldnt from 125 but 50 id go for it

[stimpmeterp]

 

This thread has survived almost a year with fresh answers coming in periodically.

 

We have a very unscientific 25% to 75% rate of YES to NO.  For every 1 of us who are crazy enough to want to try this, 3 are passing hard.  And the in-betweeners are getting creative with their responses such as "first I would change to identifying as a woman" and "if jail, yes, but if prison, no"

 

[SkiSchoolPro]

On 9/16/2022 at 9:12 AM, AdamMH said:

I can't make that swing for 24 straight hours. No way! I'd be dead after about 300 balls. 

This would be an issue for many of us who may not want to admit it 

On 9/16/2022 at 9:18 AM, dfeldss said:

I'm young. I have plenty of life left, so i'll take my chances. Give me a 50 degree wedge and maybe a 48 and i'll go to town

It can make sense taking more chances when you are young, but you also have more chances to build wealth slowly 

On 9/16/2022 at 10:03 AM, monty09 said:

10mm doesnt change my life but a year in jail would... no thanks 

On 9/16/2022 at 12:33 PM, Krt22 said:

I don't have a lot, but I also don't need a lot. I would rather work 20 more years than lose 1 year of my prime 🙂 

Both of you are living right!

 

 

I like your analysis framework @MtlJeff, but do you really think there is much more marginal utility/happiness in $100 M vs $10 M

On 9/16/2022 at 8:41 AM, MtlJeff said:

Zero chance i'd do it. Odds of a hole in one are 12500 to 1 or so. I am far , far , far better than most of you jabronis. However even if you say 7500 to 1 --That's still a shot every what, 11 seconds?

 

A year in prison regardless of what it's for is a criminal record, so i'd lose my job. I'd far rather have my job that i do, than a coin flip essentially for 10M or basically working custome service the rest of my life.

 

It's really not even a discussion.

 

Honestly to consider it , it'd probably have to be 100M+

Edited July 19, 2023 by SkiSchoolPro

[MelloYello]

On 7/19/2023 at 12:09 PM, stimpmeterp said:

 

This thread has survived almost a year with fresh answers coming in periodically.

 

We have a very unscientific 25% to 75% rate of YES to NO.  For every 1 of us who are crazy enough to want to try this, 3 are passing hard.  And the in-betweeners are getting creative with their responses such as "first I would change to identifying as a woman" and "if jail, yes, but if prison, no"

 

 

I think it would be interesting to see how much things would change if this were a simulator challenge. 

 

I think basically anybody could do it if they got to hit off a perfectly flat surface, off a forgiving mat, in an air-conditioned environment where the simulated weather and putting surface were perfectly controlled. 

 

Given 24 hours, you probably wouldn't even have to be a great iron player to get it done. Probably any avid golfer could get it done in 500-1,000 whacks with lots of intermittent breaks. 

 

 

Heck, what if it were amended to 24-hrs of total simulator time? That would be even easier, being able to spend 2-hrs a day for 12 days for example. 

[Double Mocha Man]

7 hours ago, MelloYello said:

Heck, what if it were amended to 24-hrs of total simulator time? That would be even easier, being able to spend 2-hrs a day for 12 days for example. 

 

Only if they amended the prison time to be on a certain island off the coast of San Francisco, solitary confinement.

[Mikey_HACKilroy]

Judging by how I was hitting at the range yesterday, I'd say yes.

Judging by how I was hitting at the range today, I'd definitely say no....... 😄

[Denny100]

Id do it on the basis that:

 

1) I think in 24 hours id pull it off anyway

 

2) The chance to win 10 million dollars is a worthwhile gamble for the trade off of 1 year in jail

 

3) Even if i didnt pull it off, its only one year in jail. I didnt murder someone. I didnt commit armed robbery. I didnt commit fraud. Its not like my reputation has been tarnished forever and im unemployable

 

4) If i won the 10 million which i think i would, work can kiss my little butt forever

 

[sheepdawg]

39 years between hole in ones #1 & #2. 3 weeks between #2 &#3.

 

No way.

[Denny100]

54 minutes ago, sheepdawg said:

39 years between hole in ones #1 & #2. 3 weeks between #2 &#3.

 

No way.

 

How long since you holed a wedge shot?

[sheepdawg]

42 minutes ago, Denny100 said:

 

How long since you holed a wedge shot?

Many moons.

[Forged4ever]

Pass.....

 

I've Played the game for 56+ years, with 28+ of those as a competitive +2.5 to +3.9, and though I've hit the pin six(6) times, 3 on a bounce, I've yet to get an Ace.

 

24 hours??

 

$10,000,000??

 

365 days in jail??

 

PASS

 

Fairways & Greens 4ever my Friends👊

RP

[Khill818]

I hit one an inch from the cup a few days ago.  The shadow of the ball was reaching the hole.  That would probably break me if I did that.  

 

[Double Mocha Man]

7 hours ago, Denny100 said:

Its not like my reputation has been tarnished forever

 

Ah, but in the world of golf and among golf buddies that reputation will be forever tarnished.  And you will be the laughing stock of all.

 

Then again, if you won the $10 million you'd be held in awe.

[Maine Golfer]

i'd only consider playing if we go to 95 yards

[blaird]

Id happily do it...think I could win too. At worst, I get a year of no dogs waking me up in the middle of the night a couple times a night and no wife telling me im weird for configuring the dishwasher to actually hold more than 6 dishes. 

[CTG77]

This would be rather tempting, as I have a variety of shots that can be played at that distance...

• With a tailwind, I can hit a full back-middle of the stance / flighted 55*
• In normal wind, I can hit a full, middle of stance 50* or a flighted 50* from a little farther back in the stance
• Into a headwind, I can play anything from a flighted 45* PW to a 9 iron, depending on what's in front of the green (or behind it for that matter for those fly it long and spin it back shots).

Given this lets me take a variety of full swings and then hit a few with less power that are flighted. I can normally hit about 200 balls in a range session without much effort, and that's gotten better as I've gotten in better shape the last year or so.  I have a grumpy elbow, but hitting 10 or 200 shots doesn't really matter and it doesn't really affect anything until the next day when I sit down at a PC and bump the elbow on the desk.

I guess if I was hitting to a green with a back to front slope, a landing area in front of the green, and had a couple of weeks to practice before the challenge, I'd probably take the risk...as long as the "prison" time wasn't listed as an official arrest or conviction and was more of a confinement / loss of privileges thing than an actual hardcore prison.  So yeah, LOTS of things to consider, but it's worth a shot probably because I'd be retiring as soon as I burned a lot of personal leave / vacation (at least 10 years early too) if I made it...and my wife could retire too if she wanted.

[Kai Slater]

I wouldn't do it.  I would be headed to the prison for sure!!!!  Even on a good day, I MIGHT only hit 1/2 of the greens in regulation, much less a hole in one.

 

[Foxx]

Depends. Are all the balls left on the green from all the previous shots?

 

If so then yes, because a ball will most likely find its way in off ricochets.

 

Edited September 16, 2023 by Foxx

[MichaelGFox]

On 9/16/2022 at 10:44 AM, Rosco1216 said:

Id take that bet. 
 

I feel like actual odds more like 2000/2500 to 1. Exact same flip wedge over and over again…I’m making that at some point and as long as someone is there to remove other balls from the green, I don’t think it would take me 24 hours. 

hopefully you get it within the first few hours cause after that the blisters, soreness, and general fatigue will be an issue

[dwboston]

The actor Tom Holland and his two brothers did a 500-shot challenge to try to make a hole in one on a 132 yard hole.  It looked like the mental drain was worse for them, though they each only had to hit a third of the shots.

 

 

Edited September 19, 2023 by dwboston