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How many majors will Dechambeau win?


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It's not just about how good a player is, it's about other players coming onto the scene and rising up.  I like BAD, but also fear for his back, as I don't think the added bulk fits his frame.  

 

I think he's got a 2-4 year window.  So, I'll agree with the Pete Puma post above (classic - "I want a whole lotta lumps") and say three or four majors total...    

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2 hours ago, Ferguson said:

4 in total 

 

1 US Open 

2 British 

1 PGA 

I say 

1 US Open

2 PGA

1 Masters.  
 

the British will drive his precise mind crazy with all the funny bounces and the wind.  At Augusta he will have short irons into #13, #15, and all the par 4’s. All he needs is a hot week with the putter. 
 

But who the hell knows what’s really going through that guys mind?  😉

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You peg him at no less than 14. Haaa haaaaa. Lets be realistic and use history to show that he will probably win 3-5. Like many have said he is gonna be prone to injury at some point. Look at the big swingers and they often get injured. He has game but consistency is what will dictate how many majors he wins. Lets get to 3 first and then we will start the discussion. 

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36 minutes ago, dlygrisse said:

I say 

1 US Open

2 PGA

1 Masters.  
 

the British will drive his precise mind crazy with all the funny bounces and the wind.  At Augusta he will have short irons into #13, #15, and all the par 4’s. All he needs is a hot week with the putter. 
 

But who the hell knows what’s really going through that guys mind?  😉

 

 

 

 

The British Open is easier for a guy like Bryson.   He'll just bomb it over the garbage and have short irons in. 

I believe his approach will redefine the British Open. 

 

 

 

 

How about the Qatar Masters?  

He could win 6 of those.  

 

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5 hours ago, milesgiles said:

 

Its true that attachments develop very slowly in a limited way, and since he isn’t doing any compound exercises I would say they won’t get stronger at all.

 

however, how was I to know that’s what you were referring to?

Because I quoted you, that's why.

 

They have to get stronger to handle the weight and stress they would be under but qe aren't talking rip off bone like steroids here.

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5 hours ago, Loki said:

Because I quoted you, that's why.

 

They have to get stronger to handle the weight and stress they would be under but qe aren't talking rip off bone like steroids here.

 

Yes but I made two distinct points. Perhaps you skipped over the second one 

 

 

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7 hours ago, Ferguson said:

 

 

 

 

The British Open is easier for a guy like Bryson.   He'll just bomb it over the garbage and have short irons in. 

I believe his approach will redefine the British Open. 

 

 

 

 

How about the Qatar Masters?  

He could win 6 of those.  

 

I mean we are just speculating here, but I get your point.  You can’t win the Open Championship unless you really embrace the course and the conditions.  It’s really a different game over there. I mean he could win several but not until he commits to it. I just think his high ball flight could get eaten up in the wind, but if it’s a calm week sure, it could happen. 

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History probably shows that this will be his only major...most players don't win multiple ones.  225 major winners, only 82 have won more than one...so about 2-1 against winning another.  He is younger, probably, than most first time winners, so maybe even money on winning a second.

 

Some of the best players since I've been watching for over the past 30 years are stuck on a single major...Couples, Love, Day, DJ, Kite, Fuyrk, Love, Duval, Stadler and more...

 

 

 

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On 9/27/2020 at 1:29 AM, OrangeGravy said:

How tall is he? They say he's about 230-235lbs right now? There are certainly LBs that size in the NFL. Most are 240+, but they exist. The ones that are 230 are the hybrid speed guys, so in that sense, Bryson isn't close. College football is littered with LBs in the 220-235lb range

Your local men's lounge is also littered with guys in the 220-235lb range - that does not make them NFL linebackers. 

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15 hours ago, dlygrisse said:

I mean we are just speculating here, but I get your point.  You can’t win the Open Championship unless you really embrace the course and the conditions.  It’s really a different game over there. I mean he could win several but not until he commits to it. I just think his high ball flight could get eaten up in the wind, but if it’s a calm week sure, it could happen. 


Disagree a bit when you look at the winners, pretty good track record in the Open over the past thirty years of ranked number 1 golfers winning it, some multiple times 

 

Faldo

Norman

Woods

Price

Mcilroy

Duval
 

plus top ten ranked

 

Daly

O’meara

Harrington

Stenson

Spieth

Mickelson

Oosthuizen

Els

 

outliers:

Curtis (went out way earlier in very calm weather)

Clark (appalling weather Sunday, made for him)

Hamilton (used a cheaty club)

 

Just saying that the British Open is not THAT weird for the best players. 
 

Back to the question - two

 

No evidence that he’s going to have any longer lasting form than Matsuama, Westwood, Donald, Spieth, or anyone else who hits a streak for a couple of years. Only a couple of years ago he had a meltdown on the range at the Open.

 

Plus he will get injured.

 

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Here's my take-he'll win 3 quickly, which will result in a quick rules change for the USGA that takes away the armlock and possibly something to do with shaft length. If the USGA doesn't take away armlock, I give Bryson 5. He's simply too good to win less than that if rules don't change. 

 

Bryson's putting is equally as impressive as his driving. Take away the armlock and he's not winning majors. 

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2 hours ago, PowderedToastMan said:

Here's my take-he'll win 3 quickly, which will result in a quick rules change for the USGA that takes away the armlock and possibly something to do with shaft length. If the USGA mi take away armlock, I give Bryson 5. He's simply too good to win less than that if rules don't change. 

 

Bryson's putting is equally as impressive as his driving. Take away the armlock and he's not winning majors. 

Here's my take, for what reason would they ban the arm lock? Conventional grip? Check. Not anchored? Check. All the arm lock method is is a too long putter with conventional grip. Very forward pressed to the point where the excess grip touches the forearm. The grip is not anchored to the forearm with anything but maintaining the forward press.

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I'm not afraid to answer seriously. I think he will win 6 to 8.

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5 minutes ago, Shilgy said:

Here's my take, for what reason would they ban the arm lock? Conventional grip? Check. Not anchored? Check. All the arm lock method is is a too long putter with conventional grip. Very forward pressed to the point where the excess grip touches the forearm. The grip is not anchored to the forearm with anything but maintaining the forward press.

 

Interesting take. I think he will figure it out if he has to go away from the armlock. Would likely go to some version of the claw, if necessary. He's like Langer -- he'll just keep figuring it out.

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4 minutes ago, Obee said:

I'm not afraid to answer seriously. I think he will win 6 to 8.

 

Wait ... I thought he was younger. He's already 27. Hmmmmm .....

 

I will revise that to 4 or 5.

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He is a guy that could win a few because he wins golf tournaments. You to be someone who wins to really be thinking in the 4-5 range. He has 7 tour wins since 2016. Webb Simpson has won 7 times as well and he is 35. Kuchar has 9 wins and is 42. So as you can see BAD is on a much better "traj" than so many big names that have come before him. He will continue to win but not even at Phil's level.

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19 hours ago, Shilgy said:

Here's my take, for what reason would they ban the arm lock? Conventional grip? Check. Not anchored? Check. All the arm lock method is is a too long putter with conventional grip. Very forward pressed to the point where the excess grip touches the forearm. The grip is not anchored to the forearm with anything but maintaining the forward press.

You just need to change the definition in the rules for anchoring a bit to include armlock. The grip is fixed against the forearm and doesn't move. To me, that's anchoring. 

 

Have you tried arm locking? When you anchor that putter against your forearm, it's impossible to break either wrist. You don't think that's potentially an advantage in putting? It turns lag putting into math (you just calculate how far to take the putter back and don't have to worry about the wrists adding any speed), which is why Bryson's lag putting has improved tremendously. Anchoring also takes out many variables in controlling the face, which of course is what starts the ball online. 

 

I arm locked for three years and putted my best by a mile. I had Bryson's putting stroke before Bryson did it, but had to stop because my shoulders couldn't handle the strain.

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2 minutes ago, PowderedToastMan said:

You just need to change the definition in the rules for anchoring a bit to include armlock. The grip is fixed against the forearm and doesn't move. To me, that's anchoring. 

 

Have you tried arm locking? When you anchor that putter against your forearm, it's impossible to break either wrist. You don't think that's potentially an advantage in putting? It turns lag putting into math (you just calculate how far to take the putter back and don't have to worry about the wrists adding any speed), which is why Bryson's lag putting has improved tremendously. Anchoring also takes out many variables in controlling the face, which of course is what starts the ball online. 

 

I arm locked for three years and putted my best by a mile. I had Bryson's putting stroke before Bryson did it, but had to stop because my shoulders couldn't handle the strain.

My point is that it really is the same method that Phil uses. He just doesn’t use a putter long enough to touch his forearm. 
Let me ask you this. What exactly anchors the putter against the forearm? What is locked? Will you ban Phil’s method as well? It’s the same hold of the putter, same grip, same stroke. With a short putter.

How would you write the ban? Can’t choke up the grip? 

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18 minutes ago, Shilgy said:

My point is that it really is the same method that Phil uses. He just doesn’t use a putter long enough to touch his forearm. 
Let me ask you this. What exactly anchors the putter against the forearm? What is locked? Will you ban Phil’s method as well? It’s the same hold of the putter, same grip, same stroke. With a short putter.

How would you write the ban? Can’t choke up the grip? 

I guess to me the one thing that anchoring the putter to the forearm does is that it prevents the hands from manipulating the putter face.

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